No, there was a moderate "reform" candidate, but he was defeated at the polls. There are some charges of funding and campaign irregularities, but this is a long way from saying that Ahmedinejad is some sort of puppet or agent.
RL has made a claim, and not yet followed it up with some evidence. I'd like to see that evidence.
The "moderate "reform" candidate" was the incumbant. Iranian society itself is not very democratic and the Mullahs abviously used their influence to help Ahmedinejad but the elections it seems were reasonably fair. The current president might not be a puppet exactly but the ral power in Iran is held by the Ayatollahs.
Last Edit: Jan 16, 2006 10:00:53 GMT -4 by lenbrazil
"I think we ought always to entertain our opinions with some measure of doubt"
To paraphrase Mark Twain "The CTists' claims are both convincing and true, unfortunately what's convincing is not true, and what's true is not convincing"
Post by Jason Thompson on Jan 16, 2006 12:27:48 GMT -4
27.Something odd will be seen worldwide it will not harm or hurt anyone but millions will witness it in the heavens. Perhaps it is a distant star exploding. It should be taken as a warning.
Predicting that something 'odd' will happen in the skies is hardly a great prediction. There is always something that could be classified as unusual around, such as a comet or a supernova. Even if only astronomers witness it, it will still be witnessed by millions as there happen to be millions of astronomers.
28. The earth will continue to be hit by asteroids and metorites leading some doom and gloomers to think the end is near.
29. We will start to work to find soulitions to the problems facing us as a world as one perhaps hope for humanity after all.
30. Technology and big brother continues making it's way into your life there is no backing down now
Again, predicting the continuation of existing trends is not great.
34. Someone very important will be gone . They touched many and will be missed
Well that could be anyone! Predicting someone will die is just pointless, since it is a certainty. Predicting a particular person who is not otherwise odds on to die might be worthy of interest.
How many people died last year who touched many and would be missed? Dozens, ranging from Pope John Paul II to Ronnie Barker.
35 . More control of the internet is comming taxes and content control
36.Many lives will be lost at once in one place in 2006 it will be horrid and real and played out in real time on TV .
Again, quite likely. Are we talking a road accident involving a dozen people in a bus, a terrorist bomb that kills hundreds, or a natural disaster that kills thousands? Predict how and where and this might be a more interesting prediction.
38. Something goes real wrong while launching a rocket or sattelite or return of one it will effect many.
Anything going wrong with a rocket or satellite will affect many, because many people are involved in the production, launch and operation of such a thing.
Vagueness allows anyone to make predictions. I'll do it now: a celebrity will die, cars will crash, more strife in countries already riven with it, more porn on the web, and someone in my family will get sick.
The very powerful and the very stupid have one thing in common: They don't alter their views to fit the facts, they alter the facts to fit their views." The Doctor, Doctor Who: The Face of Evil.
I can be pretty lax on the timeframe as long as the prediction is specific.
"A celebrity, loved by millions, will die" is not a prediction. It's a bet, and one you are pretty much guarenteed to win.
On the other hand:
"There will be a major explosion at KSC. The cause will be identified as a LOX facility. The explosion will cause widespread damage but will result in only a very small number of deaths".
Now that is specific. Of course, if you made such a prediction and it did happen, law enforcement would probably want to talk to you. Unless it was ascertained that the cause was purely accidental and / or there was NO WAY you could have had anything to do with it, well you'd have a lot of explaining to do.
"Truth needs no defence. Nobody - NOBODY - can ever take the footsteps I made on the surface of the Moon away from me." Gene Cernan, Apollo 17
Post by jaydeehess on Jan 18, 2006 14:36:32 GMT -4
I can't belive you know for sure that someone in your family will get sick. Say it ain't so! ;D
I can say with as much certainty as any of the original predictions in this thread, that someone in my family will get sick this year and die.
Given that My mother is the youngest of her siblings, that one has already passed on, that my Father is also the youngest of his siblings and that they have alll passed on and that my parents are in their 70's and that both my mother and I have had cancer, there is a chance that someone will get sick. Note that I did not state that they die this year, only that they get sick this year.
If I also include all of my cousins, second cousins , neices and nephews then the numbers rise and thus so do the chances that one of them will get seriously ill and that that illness eventually kills them.
In none of the original predictions is there anything like this amount of detail which means that the prediction that someone important will get sick and die expands to include literally hundreds, if not thousands, of potential important people. This would include such people as Jerry Lewis, Ed MacMahon, Clint Eastwood, Gerald Ford,,, you see the trend? All persons who are getting quite old and who therefore have an increased chance of serious illness and resultant death.
Last Edit: Jan 18, 2006 14:38:17 GMT -4 by jaydeehess
Red Ibis on the JREF forum - "No, I'm alluding to the preposterous NIST claim that the removal of fireproofing in the towers accelerated the steel temp. "
44. Many on this forum will continue to live in denial about the kind of world we really live in. However, some may get a sudden wake up call very soon...
Gosh a'mighty, Rusty, isn't it a little presumptuous to tell us we're in denial when you keep posting predictions which turn out to be wrong most of the time - that is, the ones which aren't trivially obvious?
Remember the assasination of GW Bush, and the time that those hundred thousand Chinese troops surged up from underground and seized New York City?
Really? I can name specific things which would give my my comeuppance - say, 100,000 Chinese troops boiling up from under NYC would have me saying, "Boy, Rusty, you were right! And I believe in the prophetess!", etc.
But what could possibly convince you that these people are just wrong?
Post by PhantomWolf on Jan 19, 2006 22:27:40 GMT -4
I'd hate to be the one paying the food bill for the 100,000 chinese soldiers who have been hiding under NYC for what? 2 years now?
It must be fun to lead a life completely unburdened by reality. -- JayUtah
"On two occasions, I have been asked, 'Pray, Mr. Babbage, if you put into the machine wrong figures, will the right answers come out?' I am not able to rightly apprehend the kind of confusion of ideas that could provoke such a question." -- Charles Babbage (1791-1871)